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A growing group of America's young people are not in school, not working, or not looking for work. They're called "disconnected youth" or "opportunity youth," and their ranks have been growing for nearly three decades. Experts say it's not just work and school; this group is often also disconnected from a sense of purpose. Palmer added that those with limited access to transportation, people with disabilities, and young parents were also more susceptible. Disconnected young people don't have that luxury."
Persons: , Destiny, She's, she's, They're, Kristen Lewis, Lewis, hadn't, there's, Sen, Tim Kaine, who's, Joseph, he's, hasn't, he'd, Ashley Palmer, Palmer, Sarah Nunley, Nunley, Veronica, There's, Lucchesi, they're Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Social Science Research Council, Survey, University of Minnesota's, National Center for Education Statistics, Walmart, Texas Christian University, Ivy League Locations: Florida, Alabama, Indiana, Silicon Valley, YOLO, Texas
Putin’s War Will Soon Reach Russians’ Tax Bills
  + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( Paul Sonne | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia is about to institute a rare tax increase on corporations and high earners, a move that reflects both the burgeoning costs of his war in Ukraine and the firm control he has over the Russian elite as he embarks on a fifth term in office. Financial technocrats in Mr. Putin’s government are searching for new ways to fund not just an expensive war in Ukraine but also a broader confrontation with the West that is likely to remain costly for years. Russia is allocating nearly a third of its overall 2024 budget to national defense spending this year, a huge increase, adding to a deficit that the Kremlin has taken pains to keep in check. The proposed tax increase underscores Mr. Putin’s rising confidence about his political control over the Russian elite and his country’s economic resilience at home, showing that he is willing to risk alienating parts of society to fund the war. It would represent the first major tax overhaul in over a decade.
Persons: Vladimir V, Putin Locations: Russia, Ukraine
Read previewLooking at the headline numbers, the US labor market is booming. OVOM Research/Bullandbearprofits.comWolfenbarger's views in contextOther market observers have started to warn of a weakening labor market in recent months. Ian Shepherdson, the chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, shared several indicators in a client note earlier this month warning of a job market slowdown ahead. Pantheon MacroeconomicsBut whether the labor market actually weakens materially remains to be seen. AdvertisementIf Wolfenbarger is right and the labor market falls apart in short order, it could catch an exceptionally bullish market off guard.
Persons: , Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, Wolfenbarger, Louis, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson, There's Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Business, Labor Statistics, Fed, Conference, Treasury, OVOM, Pantheon, National Federation of Independent
"I don't think they lack for anything that they need," Lyle Goldstein, director of Asia engagement at Defense Priorities, said of China's forces. Military forces are being deployed nearer to Taiwan than ever, effectively shortening Taiwan's reaction time. Stockpiling of China's rocket force, too, suggests it would have more than enough missiles and rockets to target Taiwan. One common concern is that as China's military exercises around Taiwan have grown in frequency and size, the line between exercise and potential attack is becoming blurred. Xie Huanchi/Xinhua via Getty ImagesExperts, as well as US and Taiwan lawmakers and military officials, have long debated about the readiness of the People's Liberation Army as China's military is known.
Persons: , Lyle Goldstein, Stringer China, Xi, Thomas Shugart, who's, Shugart, Goldstein, Mike Studeman, Xi Jinping, Dean Cheng, haven't, Cheng, Xie Huanchi, There's, Kyle Amonson, Dane Egli, Annabelle Chih, Getty Images Goldstein, Joe Biden Organizations: Service, Business, Defense, REUTERS, Taiwan's, Taiwan's Ministry of Defense, US Department of Defense, China Economic, Security, PLA, Patriot, US, Center, New, New American Security, Marine Corps, China Coast Guard, Scarborough, ROSA, Military, of Naval Intelligence, Pacific Command, US Institute of Peace, of, People, Getty Images, People's Liberation Army, CCP, Soviet, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Japan, US Coast Guard, Chinese Communist Party, Democratic Progressive Party, Kyodo, Stills Locations: China, Taiwan, Asia, Liaoning, Beijing, New American, AFP, Hong Kong, Xinhua, DoD's China, Cuba, US, Tainan, Japan, Philippines
Most major forecasts believe that mortgage rates will ultimately trend down this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThis week's average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 7.17%, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched up to 6.44% this week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates increased dramatically over the last two years, but they're expected to go down at some point this year.
Persons: Fannie Mae, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Reserve, US, of, Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron
Read previewThe Biden administration this week pushed out a slate of rules it says are meant to boost competitiveness and put more money into workers' pockets. There are already challenges to at least one of the rules — but together they could land overtime pay for millions more workers, ban noncompetes that prevent workers from moving into jobs in similar industries, and help people get automatic refunds for delayed or canceled flights. More workers eligible for overtime payUnder the Department of Labor's new rule, many workers who make under $43,888 will be eligible for overtime pay effective July 1. A ban on noncompetes that keep workers from taking new jobsPerhaps the most sweeping action for workers came from the Federal Trade Commission, which finalized a rule to ban noncompetes in most cases. Will a ban on noncompetes, new overtime thresholds, or airline refunds affect your life?
Persons: , Biden, Lael Brainard, That's, it's, Judy Conti, Pete Buttigieg, Brainard, Aaron, Ryan, John Smith, Suzanne Clark, Jeremy Merkelson, Davis Wright Tremaine, Merkelson, Elizabeth Wilkins, Wilkins Organizations: Service, Business, National Economic Council, Department of, National Employment Law, of Transportation, Federal Trade Commission, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, of Commerce, Texas Association of Business, Federal Trade, Chamber of Commerce, FTC
One of the architects of that plan for a Trump second term said as much in a video last year for the Heritage Foundation. Reissuing Schedule F is part of a roadmap, known as Project 2025, drafted for a second Trump term by scores of conservative groups and published by the Heritage Foundation. The new rules would not fully block reclassifying workers in a second Trump term. Greene said she worries for federal workers who might face the same choice in a second Trump term. The project includes a personnel database for potential hires in a second Trump administration.
Persons: Donald Trump, it’s, , Trump, Joe Biden, Donald Moynihan, Georgetown University's, ” Donald Moynihan, ” Moynihan, “ It’s, , Russell Vought, , you’re, Doreen Greenwald, Moynihan, Kenneth Baer, Barack Obama, ” Kenneth Baer, Peter Orszag, Pete Souza, Robert Shea, Eva Shea, George W, Bush, Laura Bush, Tina Hager, ” Biden, Baer, George Frey, ” Trump, Max Stier, Verna Daniels, ” Daniels, Catherine Greene, ” Greene, Tom Bewick, NIFA, ” Bewick, we’ll, Greene, Biden, “ We’ve, He’s, Hillary Clinton, he’d, James Comey, Bill Barr, Barr, Jeffrey Clark, Clark, Mark Meadows, Stephen Miller, Peter Navarro, he’ll Organizations: CNN, United, Republican, Democratic, Trump, , Georgetown, Georgetown University's McCourt School, Public, Georgetown University, Heritage Foundation, Management, Budget, of Justice, FBI, Environmental Protection Agency, Vought, National Treasury Employees Union, OMB, White, Personnel Management, Land Management, Department of Agriculture, Kansas City, Partnership for Public Service, Government, Office, GAO, Economic Research Service, National Institute of Food, Agriculture, USDA, National Institute for Food, NIFA, Applied Economics Association, BLM, Getty, Department of Justice, Justice Department, Univision, Justice, Department, U.S . Justice, Center, Washington Post, National Security and Intelligence, of Homeland Security, of Education and Commerce, Federal Communications Commission, Federal Trade Commission Locations: United States, Washington, Georgetown, , Colorado, DC, Kansas, Colorado, Virginia, America, Grand Junction, Washington ,, New York City, New York, Georgia
The Argentine peso has jumped 25% in three months against the dollar in one key exchange market. AdvertisementArgentina's President Javier Milei still hasn't dollarized the economy as promised, but he has managed to do something that's possibly more shocking: strengthen the peso. This currency has been one of 2023's most devalued tenders, and yet it's now become the top currency against the dollar. In the past three months, the peso has surged 25% in the blue-chip swap market, one of Argentina's key foreign exchanges. It's also ironic that Milei has come to lead the peso out of tougher times, given his loud disdain for the currency last year.
Persons: Javier Milei's, , Javier Milei, he's, It's, Milei Organizations: Argentine, Service, Bloomberg, Financial Times Locations: It's, Argentine, greenbacks
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken (L) shakes hands with China's Director of the Office of the Central Foreign Affairs Commission Wang Yi at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on June 19, 2023. (Photo by Leah MILLIS / POOL / AFP) (Photo by LEAH MILLIS/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Friday emphasized the need for the U.S. and China to avoid "miscalculations" and "misunderstandings." Speaking in Beijing ahead of a closed-door meeting with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, Blinken said there is no substitute for "face-to-face diplomacy." Both sides need to make sure "that we're as clear as possible about the areas where we have differences, at the very least to avoid misunderstandings, to avoid miscalculations," he told reporters. In his remarks, Wang told Blinken that U.S.-China relations are "beginning to stabilize" with increased dialogue and cooperation.
Persons: Antony Blinken, Central Foreign Affairs Commission Wang Yi, Leah MILLIS, LEAH MILLIS, Wang Yi, Blinken, Wang, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Xi —, — Biden Organizations: Central Foreign Affairs Commission, Getty Images, U.S, Foreign, Economic Cooperation Locations: Diaoyutai, Beijing, China, Washington, San Francisco, Asia, U.S
The October report found that around 13% of Americans reported economic hardship over the prior year due to climate change. Climate change could cost Americans born in 2024 nearly $500,000, due to higher taxes and pricier housing and food, among many other factors, ICF, a consulting firm, recently found in a report commissioned by Consumer Reports. Stan Honda | AFP | Getty ImagesOther health effects of climate change reflect more widespread shifts in global conditions. "There are clear interactions between heat waves and health conditions," said Charles Driscoll, a professor at Syracuse University who studies climate change. Climate change leads to droughts, which lead to crop failures, which cause food price spikes.
Persons: Chandan Khanna, Andrew Rumbach, Eva Marie Uzcategui, Wagner, Rumbach, Stan Honda, Charles Driscoll, Driscoll, Ringo H.W, Chiu, Mark Kantrowitz, Gernot Wagner Organizations: AFP, Getty, U.S . Department of, Treasury, Consumer Reports, Urban Institute, Bloomberg, U.S . Census, Insurance, Swiss Re Institute, Health, Natural Resources Defense, Syracuse University, International Labour Organization, Kaiser Family Foundation, of Labor Statistics, Columbia Business Locations: Fort Lauderdale , Florida, U.S, Fort Myers Beach , Florida, Florida , Louisiana, California, Hurricane, Queens, New York, Malibu, Malibu , Calif
April's final consumer sentiment read drops to 77.2
  + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApril's final consumer sentiment read drops to 77.2CNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.
Persons: Rick Santelli
A pump jack at an oil lot connected to the Petroleos del Peru SA Talara refinery in Piura, Peru, on Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2023. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Reuters on Thursday that U.S. economic growth was likely stronger than suggested by weaker-than-expected quarterly data. Data showed that economic growth slowed in the first quarter, and prior to Yellen's comments, tremors from an acceleration in inflation had weighed on oil prices as investors calculated that the Federal Reserve would not cut interest rates before September. Personal consumption expenditures inflation data for March will be released on Friday, closely tracked by the Fed for its 2% target. Elsewhere, supply concerns as geopolitical tensions continue in the Middle East also buoyed prices early in the session.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Israel Organizations: del, del Peru SA Talara, U.S . Treasury, Brent, U.S . West Texas, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: del Peru, Piura, Peru, U.S, Gazan
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks closed higher on Friday to end the best week since November, with tech rallying after earnings from mega-cap stalwarts. Instead, traders focused mostly on earnings strength from Alphabet and Microsoft. In a Friday note, Fundstrat's Mark Newton pointed out that the earnings of Alphabet and Microsoft are paving the way for a broad rally. Next week, Apple and Amazon, will release earnings and investors will be focused on the Fed's next policy meeting scheduled for April 30-May 1.
Persons: , Fundstrat's Mark Newton, Savita Subramanian, we're, it's, Subramanian Organizations: Microsoft, Service, Federal, Amazon, Nvidia, Technology, Bank of, CNBC, Apple, Dow Locations: Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSnap CEO: Digital ad recovery has been broad-based with a constructive economic backdropSnap CEO Evan Spiegel joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how much ad revenue acceleration was due to AI tools, the overall rebound in digital advertising, and what the expense guidance says about the company's plans.
Persons: Evan Spiegel
The U.S. economy is flashing a sign that's favorable for dividend stocks, according to Bank of America. In this environment, investors want to own dividend stocks with above-market yields, she said. For those characteristics, she looks to quintile two of the Russell 1000 by trailing dividend yield. Her screen guards against owning distressed companies that might move into the first quintile, the highest dividend yield group, if prices fall ahead of potential dividend cuts. APA has a 3.1% dividend yield, while HF Sinclair yields 3.5%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Jeffrey Martin, CNBC's Jim Cramer, John Christmann Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, AES, APA, Sinclair, Callon Petroleum, CNBC, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'The Fed is giving us a gift by keeping rates high,' says Greenwich Wealth's Vahan JanjigianVahan Janjigian, CIO of Greenwich Wealth Management, Marc Giannoni, chief U.S. economist at Barclays, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the potential for rate cuts, outlooks on economic data, and more.
Persons: Janjigian, Marc Giannoni, Steve Liesman Organizations: Greenwich, Greenwich Wealth Management, Barclays
Allies of former president Trump are drafting plans to chip away at the independence of the Fed, The Wall Street Journal reported. Trump has not publicly acknowledged the plan, but sources said it has his blessing. The plan also suggests Trump could fire Jerome Powell before his term ends in 2026. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy .
Persons: Trump, Jerome Powell, , Donald Trump's Organizations: Fed, Street Journal, Service, Republican, Federal Reserve, Street, Business
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold was little changed on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation report, but prices were on track for their first weekly drop in six weeks on easing concerns of a major escalation of the Middle East crisis. Focus now turns to March's core Personal Consumption Expenditures, or PCE, index data due later on Friday — the Fed's preferred measure of inflation — for further clues on the U.S. rate outlook. The dollar index was headed for its biggest weekly dip since early March, making the greenback-priced bullion less expensive for other currency holders. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $27.49 per ounce, spot platinum rose 0.8% to $921.45 and palladium gained 1.4% to $988.22.
Persons: Gold, Yeap Jun Rong, Jun Rong Organizations: Co, Federal Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
Sarote Pruksachat | Moment | Getty ImagesAsia was the most disaster-hit region in the world last year as extreme weather and climate threats intensified amid global warming, according to the World Meteorological Organization, the UN's weather agency. According to a NASA report, increased temperatures are associated with variations in precipitation and increased frequency of both drought and extreme water events. watch nowWhile WMO found that much of Asia suffered from a substantial lack of precipitation in 2023, there were also many extreme weather events associated with heavy rainfall and flooding. The WMO report noted that a lack of rainfall could also have detrimental effects on drinking water sources, agriculture, industry, and hydropower. Authors of the report argued the data confirms the need for early warning systems for extreme weather and more disaster risk reduction to mitigate losses and damage caused by climate change in the future.
Persons: Sarote, Celeste Saulo, Saulo, heatstroke Organizations: Asia, World Meteorological Organization, NASA, WMO Locations: Asia, Siberia, China, Japan, Kazakhstan, India, , Beijing
Alphabet shares surged in Friday's premarket after a blowout earnings report for the Google owner. AdvertisementAlphabet stock surged ahead of Friday's opening bell as investors cheered the Google owner's blowout first-quarter earnings. If those gains hold until the opening bell, its valuation will top $2 trillion for the first time. Meanwhile, Microsoft stock made more modest gains after it reported first-quarter earnings on Thursday afternoon. Shares were up almost in pre-market trading, putting its market capitalization on course to jump about $11 billion at the opening bell back above $3 trillion.
Persons: , AJ Bell, Russ Mould, Amy Hood, hadn't, OpenAI, Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Service, Apple Locations: Friday's
The bottom 20% of American earners have been left out of the economic boom, Jamie Dimon said. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . One reason is they've largely missed out on the boom times, Jamie Dimon says. Advertisement"There's parts of society who's kind of struggling, parts of society who's not," Dimon said.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , who's, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Wall, New York Times Locations: America
Finally, consumers are dipping into savings to fund those purchases, creating a precarious scenario, if not now then down the road. With unemployment under 4%, it shouldn't be that surprising that prices aren't" going down, said Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. So you might have a sticky inflation scenario." "If inflation remains higher, the Fed will be faced with the difficult choice of pushing the economy into a recession, abandoning its soft-landing scenario, or tolerating inflation higher than 2%," Sanders said. "To us, accepting higher inflation is the more prudent option."
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Joseph LaVorgna, LaVorgna, Donald Trump, Biden, Mike Sanders, Sanders Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Nikko Securities, National Economic Council, Madison Investments Locations: San Rafael , California, U.S
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at how the latest GDP data has shifted the expectations of where the economy is headed. Now, the economy will need some type of event (see: bubble popping) for rate cuts to become an option anytime soon, Miskin said. Energy price shocks could bring the world economy to a "vulnerable moment," chief economist Indermit Gill warned.
Persons: , TikTok, they're, you'd, Jia Feng, It'll, Insider's Madison Hoff, It's, Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, BI's Filip De Mott, Jamie Dimon, Matt Miskin, Miskin, Mark Zuckerberg, C, Cox, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Goldman Sachs, Guess what's, Indermit Gill, Alphabet's, Redmond, Tyler Le, Doug McMillon, execs, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Reserve, stagflation, JPMorgan, Wall Street, John Hancock Investment Management, Galatioto Sports Partners, Bank, Google, Big Tech, Microsoft, Health, Linkedin, YouTube, ExxonMobil Locations: Chevron, New York, London
Some members of Trump's team want to restructure the Federal Reserve, the WSJ reported. That could include allowing the president to have a direct say on interest rate decisions. Trump has previously been critical of Powell's handling of interest rates during the pandemic. To help the Fed achieve its 2% inflation target, the Federal Open Market Committee has hiked interest rates 11 consecutive times since March 2022. Advertisement"I think he's going to do something to probably help the Democrats, I think, if he lowers interest rates," Trump said, adding that "it looks to me like he's trying to lower interest rates for the sake of maybe getting people elected."
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Donald Trump, Trump, President Trump, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Powell, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Joe Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Biden Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Street, Trump, Management, Federal, Fed, Fox News, Republican, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Biden, GOP Locations: New York
Kim Jong Un oversaw tests for a rocket capable of hitting Seoul in South Korea, Bloomberg reported. Russia and North Korea have previously denied reports of an arms deal between the two nations. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Vladivostok on April 25, 2019. Russia and North Korea have previously denied an arms deal exists between the two countries. Business Insider reported in October that North Korea was on track to become "one of Russia's most significant foreign arms suppliers."
Persons: Kim Jong Un, , Yang, Vladimir Putin, Alexander Zemlianichenko, Simon Miles, Miles, Kelly Grieco, it's Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Ukraine, Korean People's Army, Korean Central News Agency, Asan Institute, Policy Studies, NK News, North Korean, Duke University's Sanford School of Public, Kremlin, Soviet Union, AP News, Business, pushback, US, Stimson Center Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Russia, Ukraine, North Korea, Korea, Russian, Vladivostok, Soviet
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